Convective Outlook: Thu 07 Apr 2016
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Thu 07 Apr 2016 - 05:59 UTC Fri 08 Apr 2016

ISSUED 17:21 UTC Wed 06 Apr 2016

ISSUED BY: Dan

Generally quite a low risk of lightning across the British Isles / Ireland, with a sharpening upper trough clearing eastwards, its axis over the North Sea by the time of peak heating over land. Nonetheless, cold mid-levels combined with diurnal heating will generate some deep convection, particularly focussed along a zone of low-level wind convergence from eastern Scotland down through eastern England to East Anglia, where heavy showers are likely to be frequent, some perhaps deep enough to produce some sporadic lightning activity.


DLS is weak and CAPE rather meagre so any lightning activity is likely to be fairly sporadic/isolated. Given cold air aloft, some small hail is possible in any stronger cores.