Convective Outlook: Fri 20 May 2016

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Fri 20 May 2016 - 05:59 UTC Sat 21 May 2016

ISSUED 19:36 UTC Thu 19 May 2016

ISSUED BY: Chris

A post-cold frontal environment will provide modest cold air aloft and along with surface heating could generate a few isolated to scattered heavy showers during the afternoon on Friday. CAPE values are small and lapse rates are marginal so the risk of lightning remains in the 5-10% region across this area.